My Oscar Ballot: Movie Year 2010

The 83rd Annual Oscar nominations will be announced Tuesday. Here are the nominees I'll be rooting for (many that are locks this year, happy to say):

Of the nominees that appear to be "locks":
Best Picture: The Social Network
Best Director: David Fincher for The Social Network
Best Director: Tom Hooper for The King's Speech
Best Director: Christopher Nolan for Inception
Best Actor: Jesse Eisenberg in The Social Network
Best Actor: Robert Duvall in Get Low
Best Actor: Colin Firth in The King's Speech
Best Actress: Michelle Williams in Blue Valentine
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale in The Fighter
Best Supporting Actor: Jeremy Renner in The Town
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Ruffalo in The Kids Are All Right
Best Supporting Actor: Geoffrey Rush in The King's Speech
Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams in The Fighter
Best Supporting Actress: Mila Kunis in Black Swan
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo in The Fighter
Best Supporting Actress: Hailee Steinfeld in True Grit
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Social Network
Best Original Screenplay: The King's Speech
Best Cinematography: The King's Speech

Of the nominees that have a good chance:
Best Documentary: Exit Through the Gift Shop

Of the "dark horse" variety:

Best Director: Roman Polanski for The Ghost Writer

Best Supporting Actor: Pierce Brosnan in The Ghost Writer
Best Supporting Actor: Armie Hammer in The Social Network
Best Supporting Actress: Mia Wasikowska in The Kids Are All Right
Best Original Screenplay: Blue Valentine
Best Original Screenplay: Despicable Me
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Ghost Writer

No chance, but how cool if:
Best Picture: Blue Valentine
Best Director: Derek Cianfrance for Blue Valentine
Best Director: Banksy for Exit Through the Gift Shop
Best Supporting Actress: Dakota Fanning in The Runaways
Best Supporting Actress: Chloe Moretz in Kick-Ass
Best Supporting Actress: Lucy Punch in You Will Meet a Tall Dark Stranger
Best Adapted Screenplay: Youth in Revolt